Political tensions over the
presidential election and the 2027 budget have further increased uncertainty
among the public and business community in France. Rising inflation, high energy prices
and growing economic uncertainty have prompted French consumers to cut back on
spending, raising concerns that business activity and economic growth could
come under further pressure. According to foreign media reports, a clear change
in consumer behavior is being observed at restaurants and other businesses
across France. Some customers are sharing starters instead of ordering full
meals, while two people are sharing a single steak. Some are even avoiding
ordering wine with lunch.
David Zinoda, the owner of a
restaurant in Paris, said consumers’ purchasing power has become extremely
limited. He added that only cafés offering relatively cheap beer appear to be
busy. Consumer spending accounts for nearly half of France’s gross domestic
product (GDP), meaning a decline in household spending could pose a major
challenge to the economy. Value-added tax (VAT) generated through consumer
purchases is also an important source of government revenue.
According to a September survey by
consumer credit company Cofidis, 60 percent of French citizens believe
inflation is accelerating. Meanwhile, 58 percent said they were cutting back on
non-essential spending, while 54 percent said they were paying closer attention
to prices.
More than half of those surveyed
expressed concern that their purchasing power could deteriorate further over
the next year. The proportion of people holding this view has increased by 10
percentage points compared with last year. Economists and business leaders say
cautious consumer behavior could hinder the recovery of the French economy.
Rising oil prices and weak wage growth are also affecting people’s ability to
spend. Meanwhile, political tensions surrounding next year’s presidential
election and the 2027 budget have further increased uncertainty among the
public and business community. The government is already facing difficulties in
securing approval for the budget from a divided parliament.