U.S. President Donald Trump has indicated
to his senior advisers that the United States may refrain from launching
further attacks on Iran if there are no new provocations by Tehran or the
Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen. According to Reuters, three people familiar
with the matter said Trump had considered the possibility of halting further
strikes on Iran following meetings with national security advisers and
intelligence briefings in recent days.
The report said Trump has alternated between
threatening to escalate the conflict and launch further attacks and signaling
that military operations could come to an end. Current and former U.S.
officials said the president has not yet made a final decision on how to end
the conflict. Speaking on Thursday to sports broadcaster and television host
Stephen A. Smith, Trump said he could end the war immediately. However, at the
request of countries seeking U.S. protection, he was pursuing a more cautious
and relatively prolonged approach.
Saudi Arabia and Türkiye Advise Against Renewing
the War
According to Reuters, Trump held telephone
conversations over the past two weeks with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin
Salman and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. Both leaders reportedly
advised him against resuming attacks on Iran. The report said Trump had told
the Saudi crown prince on October 31 that he intended to attack Iran after the
U.S. elections. However, Mohammed bin Salman urged him not to do so, arguing
that economic sanctions against Iran were proving effective. According to the
Turkish presidency, Trump and Erdoğan held three telephone conversations after
October 28. An official statement issued following their November 7
conversation also emphasised the need to ease tensions between Iran and the
United States.
U.S. Sanctions Are Affecting Iran's Economy
According to assessments by U.S. intelligence
agencies, the American blockade of Iran's maritime trade and economic sanctions
are putting pressure on the Iranian economy and could continue to exert
pressure on Tehran. Reuters reported,
citing U.S. officials, that in addition to restricting Iran's maritime trade,
the U.S. military is taking measures to prevent weapons and sanctioned goods
from entering the country through land routes and across the Caspian Sea. The
report also quoted U.S. officials as saying that the American military is
prepared to intensify military operations against Iran if necessary.
A third U.S. aircraft carrier is also expected to
arrive in the Middle East, replacing one of the two carriers already deployed
in the region. However, all three carriers could remain deployed there if
circumstances require. According to the report, Trump may also consider the
option of launching fresh strikes against Iran's underground nuclear
facilities. However, the United States has already targeted these installations,
and the prospects of success from further attacks remain uncertain. U.S.
intelligence officials believe that additional strikes are also unlikely to
bring about any significant change in Iran's demands during negotiations. Reuters
further reported that Trump had been briefed on the state of U.S. weapons
stockpiles, some of which have fallen to concerningly low levels, particularly
supplies of advanced long-range weapons. The White House rejected these
concerns, maintaining that the U.S. military has sufficient weapons and
ammunition to achieve all of the president's strategic objectives.