New opinion poll released ahead of Spain’s general election 2026

A new opinion poll released ahead of Spain’s general election, expected to take place on November 29, 2026, suggests that the conservative People’s Party (PP) and the right-wing Vox party could jointly secure a clear parliamentary majority. According to a poll published by the newspaper 20minutos on October 9 and conducted by Instituto DYM between October 5 and 7, the PP is projected to receive 34% of the vote and win between 139 and 143 seats in parliament.

Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) is expected to receive 28.2% of the vote and secure between 107 and 111 seats, while Vox could obtain 18.2% of the vote and win between 61 and 65 seats. Among other parties, Sumar is projected to receive 3.6% of the vote and win between three and five seats, while Podemos could secure 2.6% of the vote and between one and two seats.

According to the poll, the PP and Vox could jointly win between 200 and 208 seats, comfortably exceeding the 176 seats required for a majority in Spain’s 350-member parliament and potentially enabling them to form a government. However, these figures are estimates based on public opinion and do not guarantee the final election results.

The survey also indicates that support for Sánchez’s PSOE has increased by 1.9 percentage points compared with the previous month. Despite this improvement, the party’s projected parliamentary representation remains below the number of seats it won in the 2023 general election. Immigration has also emerged as a significant issue in the election campaign. According to the survey, 14.3% of respondents identified immigration as the most important issue influencing their voting decisions. It is worth noting that opinion polls reflect public sentiment at a particular point in time, while the actual political outcome will depend on voting and the final election results.